Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 355.052461 402.174755 454.283295 516.362612 588.542317 670.099351 769.622261
2025-12-14 282.462654 343.833045 417.659025 513.741095 636.547984 789.685295 997.340864
2025-12-21 235.518911 299.836025 381.416096 493.795112 646.636152 850.256314 1147.152110
2025-12-28 215.468249 285.011103 377.331266 510.971739 703.023149 974.609109 1397.951233
2026-01-04 201.105706 274.936287 376.901575 531.084973 763.814146 1111.188017 1687.047729
2026-01-11 184.434869 259.224979 366.021152 533.637529 797.615564 1210.722036 1934.137084
2026-01-18 167.205104 240.607091 348.453391 523.246247 808.908463 1275.006535 2132.271971
2026-01-25 152.738229 224.497418 332.684188 513.244673 818.563479 1336.466253 2334.126633
2026-02-01 145.513837 218.587789 331.727795 526.403836 867.588153 1470.689168 2691.762964
2026-02-08 135.955682 208.079693 322.337257 524.211168 889.275803 1558.562495 2975.466508
2026-02-15 126.875912 197.513900 311.785733 518.666292 903.825506 1634.490934 3248.152920
2026-02-22 120.201533 190.290010 306.048644 520.775346 932.393727 1740.765315 3605.179533
2026-03-01 111.925996 179.927931 294.397058 511.548615 939.281090 1807.038300 3892.542625
2026-03-08 105.389323 172.040842 286.400165 508.316835 957.691862 1900.273725 4264.564517
2026-03-15 97.020888 160.339004 270.658218 488.690465 940.238812 1913.623695 4443.203337
2026-03-22 94.709937 159.109450 273.641083 505.650257 1001.023516 2109.558667 5135.064341
2026-03-29 92.911144 158.629810 277.903629 525.520330 1070.635898 2337.554271 5973.751251
2026-04-05 89.001467 153.987685 273.924163 528.041608 1101.964355 2479.157047 6605.600547
2026-04-12 83.864827 146.708010 264.315454 517.776889 1102.663920 2544.693846 7027.578938
2026-04-19 79.184100 139.983686 255.291908 507.896723 1103.046905 2609.553307 7465.547462
2026-04-26 77.366126 138.599664 256.707827 520.896066 1160.143582 2834.311556 8492.228432
2026-05-03 74.068652 134.124792 251.556969 518.730073 1179.470658 2959.293968 9216.993693
2026-05-10 70.671526 129.241264 245.217656 513.252575 1189.717768 3060.524705 9888.960991